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Kim G C Moody’s Musings – 1-1-1 Newsletter For September 3, 2025

 

One Comment About Taxation – An “Empty Rooms” Tax in Australia? Taxation Powers Deployed by Government Need Much More Careful Thought

 

Governments around the world struggle with basic financial mathematics. In other words, many spend much more than they receive. Unlike individual households who cannot continue to run cash deficits indefinitely – since they will quickly go broke or deplete any savings they might have – governments have two “advantages” to individual households: they can borrow money and accumulate debt (which pushes the debt repayment to the future, usually future generations) and they have taxation powers. In other words, they can introduce new taxation measures to increase government revenues which purportedly can help get their finances in line.

 

In addition, both governments and individual households also have a basic tool at their disposal to help improve finances: reduce spending.

 

Many left-of-centre leaning governments, however, are not particularly quick to use that basic tool. It doesn’t fit their politics and ideology. In Canada, our current government has resorted to vacuous slogans (“spend less, invest more”), delayed budgets, a deceptive new budgeting methodology which wants to “separate the operating budget from the capital budget” and timid spending cut mandates which don’t go far enough. All of the above are basic political maneuvers to not cut costs to a point where they need to be.

 

Time will tell where our current government goes – will it simply pile up debt or will they introduce new taxation measures to support their spending? Or both?

 

Some countries are realizing that the continuation of the burgeoning welfare state is not sustainable and are looking at ways to rein in expansionary pressures. Some are still exploring new taxation measures.

 

In Australia, the current centre-left government has been struggling with recent budget deficits and have convened public discussions on a path forward. At a recent government sponsored Economic Reform Roundtable, there were numerous submissions put forward by interested parties on how to make the “…Australian economy stronger, fairer, more productive and more resilient into the future”. The submissions included a wide range of topics from deregulation to tax reform.

 

One of the tax submissions – made by a real-estate analytics firm – suggested that the Australian government should introduce an “empty rooms tax” to help assist with Australia’s housing challenges. According to the firm’s “research”, over 60 percent of Australian homes are occupied by just one or two people, while more than 75 percent of properties feature three or more bedrooms. It suggested taxing surplus bedrooms could shift housing demand toward smaller, “well-located” apartments (not sure where “well-located” is).

 

A methodology was not put forward on how the tax would be applied but public reaction to the proposal appears to have been swift and widely negative. As it should have been. How would the government even count “empty rooms”? Would officials measure floorplans and monitor bedroom usage?

 

This kind of stealth social engineering and property rights intrusion, masked as a taxation policy, would be very troubling for any democracy.

 

There are no shortage of ideologues and politicians who are convinced that governments should deploy their taxation powers as a routine tool to solve the issues du jour. Accordingly, the types of taxes that have been introduced over thousands of years are interesting with many of them being silly. One of the important historical lessons is that taxation powers should be deployed carefully so as to ensure such powers do not encroach on basic rights and can realistically achieve their objective(s).

 

A good and sound taxation system, as espoused by the Scottish economist, Adam Smith, in his 1776 landmark writing, The Wealth of Nations, should have four basic tenets:

 

1. Equity – contributions should be fair and proportional to a person’s ability to pay;

2. Certainty – the system should have rules that are clear, predictable and not left to arbitrary discretion;

3. Convenience – the timing and system of payment should be convenient for taxpayers; and

4. Economy – the costs to administer and collect taxes should be minimized and not consume the revenue it raises.

 

Australia’s empty rooms tax would most certainly fail Smith’s tests. On equity, it would penalize people for how they live in their own homes rather than their ability to pay. On certainty, the measurement of such a tax would likely be discretionary and subject to arbitrary market values. On convenience, it would also fail by intruding into private dwelling use that would require continuous monitoring. On economy, the administrative costs would likely outweigh any revenue raised.

 

Like Canada, I have no doubt that Australia’s tax system needs reform. Our system is mind bogglingly complex. Tax specialists like me struggle with it mightily and it is most certainly not approachable by the average person. While our current government has promised an “expert review” of the corporate tax system, the review needs to go much broader with a view to getting back to the basic tenets as laid out by Smith.

 

Such a review should eliminate the silly taxes that are equivalent to the Australia empty rooms tax proposal. That list is long but would include the federal Underused Housing Tax. Recent statistics show the UHT has generated far less revenues in 2022 – $49 million – rather than the $200 million originally projected. Administrative costs – $59 million – have also far exceeded such revenues with research showing that these taxes do not have a meaningful impact on real estate markets, housing availability and affordability.

 

Taxes are necessary to fund government, but they must be crafted with restraint, clarity, and respect for basic rights. When taxation strays into social engineering or intrudes on property rights it undermines both trust and liberty.

 

As former U.S. Chief Justice John Marshall warned more than two centuries ago, “the power to tax involves the power to destroy.” That is why Canada urgently needs real tax reform – to strip away gimmicks, and rebuild a simple, fair system that supports growth rather than undermines it.

 

And for the record, I sleep in every room in my house.

 

One Comment About Leadership – Leaders Don’t Let Your Audience “Be in the Dark”

 

Some of the most frustrating experiences in life share one thing in common: not knowing what’s going on. For example, here are some of the ones that I’ve experienced:

 

  • I’m at the airport, and my flight is delayed with no explanation. Then delayed again. Still silence.
  • I’m at the doctor’s office, and I’ve arrived on time, wait far past my appointment, get shuffled into another room, and still no one explains the delay.
  • Early in my career, rumors swirled for weeks about layoffs at the firm I was articling at. Anxiety grew daily. Finally, one person was let go but leaders had said nothing the entire time.

 

These are all textbook failures of leadership communication. Human beings have a basic need to know what’s happening. When you leave people in the dark, frustration turns into mistrust.

 

Good leaders do the opposite. At the airport, a simple explanation and updated timeline would calm everyone. In the doctor’s office, respect means acknowledging the patient’s time by calling ahead or providing a realistic update on delays. In my firm facing tough times, transparency about the struggle and possible layoffs would have reduced the rumor mill and allowed team members to prepare contingency plans.

 

Silence is never neutral. It erodes trust. Leaders who leave their customers or team in the dark are showing disrespect. If this is you, do better. Today.

 

One Comment About Economics – Canada’s GDP Declined in the Second Quarter of 2025

 

Statistics Canada released its report on Canada’s GDP for the second quarter of 2025. From the report:

 

Real gross domestic product (GDP) declined 0.4% in the second quarter of 2025, following a 0.5% gain in the first quarter. The contraction in the second quarter was driven by significant declines in the export of goods, as well as decreased business investment in machinery and equipment. These declines were tempered by faster accumulations of business inventories, higher household spending and lower imports of goods.

 

On a per capita basis, real GDP was down 0.4% in the second quarter, after an increase of 0.4% in the previous quarter. Final domestic demand, which represents total final consumption expenditures and investment in fixed capital, was up 0.9% in the second quarter of 2025, following a decline of 0.2% in the first quarter. Increased household and government spending led the rise in final domestic demand in the second quarter.

 

Exports declined 7.5% in the second quarter of 2025 after increasing 1.4% in the first quarter. As a consequence of United States-imposed tariffs, international exports of passenger cars and light trucks plummeted 24.7% in the second quarter. Exports of industrial machinery, equipment and parts (-18.5%) and travel services (-11.1%) also declined.

 

Amid the counter-tariff response by the Canadian government for imports from the United States, international imports declined 1.3% in the second quarter, after rising 0.9% in the previous quarter. Lower imports of passenger vehicles (-9.2%) and travel services (-8.5%; Canadians travelling abroad) were moderated by higher imports of intermediate metal products (+35.8%), more specifically, by unwrought gold, silver, and platinum group metals.

 

Export (-3.3%) and import (-2.3%) prices fell in the second quarter, as businesses likely absorbed some of the additional costs of tariffs by lowering prices. Given the larger decline in export prices, the terms of trade—the ratio of the price of exports to the price of imports—fell 1.1%.

 

Frankly, these statistics are disturbing. Some economists are already predicting that the lower GDP numbers could drive the Bank of Canada to reduce its benchmark rate from the current 2.75% this month.

 

In my view, this latest GDP decline isn’t just a blip and all caused by U.S. tariffs. It’s another symptom of a deeper problem. Canada is overly reliant on consumer spending and government intervention while investment and exports – the engines of sustainable growth – are sputtering and have been for quite some time.

 

If the Bank of Canada cuts rates, it may provide short-term relief, but it won’t fix our structural issues. Without serious tax reform, disciplined government spending, and policies that actually encourage productivity and investment, we risk stumbling into yet another lost decade.

 

Canadians deserve better than managed decline.

 

Bonus Comment – Quote From Yours Truly – Kim G C Moody – About Leadership Communication

 

“When leaders go quiet, fear does the talking.”

 

Leaders, be respectful and don’t let your audience live in the dark.

 

Hope you enjoyed this edition of 1-1-1. If you’re not already part of the In the Mood Network, now’s the time. Please sign-up today.  Whether it’s through consulting, coaching, speaking, or writing, my work is about planting acorns: deliberate, principled actions that challenge the status quo and grow into something far bigger. The goal? Bold reform. Stronger foundations. And a country that values hard work and common sense.